Tomorrow's energy and the future consumer

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Energy consumption in 2030 is likely to be very different from how it is today. Business models, technology and consumer preferences are all evolving rapidly – but we cannot predict the nature of these changes with certainty. So what could the future look like for consumers, energy regulation and industry?

 

We’ve convened a community of consumer bodies, senior industry executives and technology leaders to explore the emerging insights.

 

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Overview: The future of energy is...

The energy sector is undergoing fundamental change. In this paper, we outline some of the main drivers of change and the resulting uncertainty about the future shape of the energy system. We also review the roles of consumers and technology in the development of energy systems.

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The decarbonisation of heat

The decarbonisation of heat is arguably the biggest challenge facing UK energy policy over the next few decades. In this paper we review the nature of heat demand and supply today and some of the decarbonisation options being discussed by policy makers.

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Local energy in a transforming system

Local energy, and the overlapping concept of community energy, are growing features of the GB energy system. Here we assess the current local energy landscape, consider the potential benefits and risks for consumers, and the implications for us as a regulator.

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Future domestic energy consumption

In this paper, we assess the likely changes domestic energy consumers will face over the coming decade. We review the implications of growing use of domestic smart technology, new business models and the roles of third party intermediaries in the retail market.

Background

In the spring of 2016, Ofgem launched the Insights for Future Regulation project to explore the implications of system transformation for consumers and regulation. These discussion papers present emerging thinking resulting from our research and stakeholder discussions. They do not reflect established positions from Ofgem or our governing body, the Gas and Electricity Markets Authority.

Join the conversation

If you would like to feedback on the discussion papers, or would like to contribute or find out more about the project:

Publications and updates

  • Published: 21st Aug 2017
  • Agendas, minutes and presentations, Guidance
  • 0 Associated documents
Event invite to explore how innovation in the energy sector is shaping a smarter and more consumer-focused future in Scotland.

  • Published: 13th Jul 2017
  • Agendas, minutes and presentations
  • 5 Associated documents
Event slides, highlights and discussion papers from the future consumers event held 5 July 2017.

  • Published: 14th Mar 2017
  • News and blogs
  • 0 Associated documents
Joe Perkins, Chief Economist, introduces our latest paper in the Ofgem Future Insights series.

  • Published: 14th Mar 2017
  • Reports and plans
  • 1 Associated documents
This paper is the fourth in our series of 'Future Insights' publications and outlines some of the key changes to the energy landscape we expect to see for domestic consumers.

  • Published: 16th Feb 2017
  • News and blogs
  • 0 Associated documents
Tom Bearpark, Graduate Analyst, writes about the potential importance of local energy in the future and what that means for us.

  • Published: 30th Jan 2017
  • Reports and plans
  • 1 Associated documents
This paper is the third in our series of “Future Insights” publications. It considers the current local energy landscape, the types of business models that are emerging and the implications for consumers and regulation.

  • Published: 14th Nov 2016
  • Reports and plans
  • 1 Associated documents
This paper is the second in our series of “Future Insights” publications and outlines the key challenges involved with the decarbonisation of heat.

  • Published: 11th Oct 2016
  • Reports and plans
  • 1 Associated documents
In this paper, we outline emerging thinking on the types of changes we may see in the energy sector and the potential challenges for Ofgem.

  • Published: 11th Oct 2016
  • Press releases
  • 0 Associated documents
Ofgem has today launched its Future Insights programme with the first in a series of discussion papers exploring the issues and opportunities for consumers from the transformation of the energy system over the coming decades.

  • Published: 23rd Mar 2016
  • Open letters and correspondence
  • 1 Associated documents
We are initiating a new process of horizon scanning to help us identify and understand the impacts of energy system change on consumers and regulation. This will help us set our future priorities. We need your help to do this.